探花精选’s Assessment for a Resilient Great Salt Lake

The Great Salt Lake Birds & Habitat Assessment identifies the most important areas for bird conservation & hydrologic connectivity
Wilson's Phalaropes at Great Salt Lake. Photo: Mary Anne Karren

A healthy network of saline lakes in the Western United States is crucial to the survival and wellbeing of millions of waterbirds that depend on these ecosystems for nesting, breeding, refueling, and rest. Great Salt Lake is an irreplaceable cornerstone of this network. As one of the largest saline lakes in the Western Hemisphere, the Great Salt Lake ecosystem supports approximately 12 million birds annually and hosts globally significant populations. Increasing water diversion, development, and climate stressors threaten the system鈥檚 resilience and directly impact habitat quality and availability for waterbirds.鈥疶he challenges facing Great Salt Lake are vast and these converging threats create an imperative for strategic habitat prioritization. 

The Great Salt Lake Birds and Habitat Assessment (the Assessment) is a science-based analysis designed to inform conservation strategies across the Great Salt Lake watershed and support the 探花精选鈥檚 strategic priorities, with its core goal focusing on protecting birds and the places they need, today and tomorrow. Developed by 探花精选鈥檚 team of scientists, with input from habitat and water experts, this effort integrates habitat suitability, climate projection, and human modification data into a unified, spatial framework that identifies priority conservation areas for waterbirds. 

鈥淕reat Salt Lake is one of the most important remaining strongholds for migratory birds as they make their hemispheric journeys along the Pacific Flyway,鈥 said Marshall Johnson, Chief Conservation Officer for 探花精选.鈥淭his assessment contributes directly to 探花精选鈥檚 broader work to bend the bird curve and鈥痯rovides valuable insight to our partners鈥攚ater and wetland managers, partner conservation groups, and policymakers鈥攁 shared, science-based framework for protecting Great Salt Lake habitats and water resources.鈥   

The Assessment utilizes two analyses: an Avian Prioritization Analysis and a Hydrological Inflows Analysis. 

The Avian Prioritization Analysis uses a habitat prioritization model to evaluate 探花精选鈥檚 Flight Plan indicator waterbird species across all seasons. 探花精选 scientists conducted a series of optimization analyses to identify priority areas using Zonation Conservation Planning software. Analyses were conducted for both present and midcentury (year 2050) timesteps based on focal bird suitability and relative abundance using the methods described in Deluca et al. (2023). The features being optimized are listed on the left side of each box and include present and future habitat and climate suitability models for the breeding and nonbreeding seasons (Wilsey et al. 2019), as well as relative abundance models for fall and spring migration seasons (Fink et al. 2024, Meehan et al. 2022), for all indicator species in all seasons in which they are present in the watershed. The right side of each box indicates the landscape degradation attributes the model aims to avoid.  

Additionally, as part of this Assessment, 探花精选 utilized a hydrologic model that depicts potential contributions to Great Salt Lake from upstream wetlands and flood-irrigated agricultural lands to identify opportunities for protection of flows to Great Salt Lake and wetlands and water resource management. The Assessment illustrates how the Great Salt Lake鈥檚 mosaic of interconnected habitats across the watershed is essential for maintaining the region鈥檚 exceptional waterbird diversity and abundance.    

The Assessment yields several key findings for conservation partners working in the Great Salt Lake watershed:

  • The open water of Great Salt Lake and its surrounding wetland complexes鈥攊ncluding Bear River Migratory Bird Refuge, Farmington Bay, Ogden Bay, and Willard Spur Waterfowl Management Areas鈥攁re of ongoing conservation priority because they provide essential habitat today that also are projected to persist under future climate conditions. Protecting water flows and preventing encroachment on these habitats offers the highest near-term conservation impact.
  • Agricultural lands and degraded historical wetlands in the areas surrounding the lake represent conservation opportunities where climate suitability will remain high and where restoration or land protection can generate long-term conservation value.
  •  Maintaining and improving hydrologic connectivity鈥攖he network of streams, canals, and return flows that deliver water from across the watershed to the lake and its wetlands鈥攊s as essential to bird conservation as the wetland footprints themselves.

鈥淭he future of Great Salt Lake and its wetlands is intertwined with the decisions we make in the surrounding watershed,鈥 said Marcelle Shoop, Director of 探花精选鈥檚 Saline Lakes Program. 鈥淭his science-based assessment illustrates where conservation will make the biggest difference for waterbirds species鈥攁nd makes clear that protecting how water moves to the lake and its wetlands is essential for the future of Great Salt Lake and our communities.鈥 

The Assessment yields several key findings for conservation partners working in the Great Salt Lake watershed. In addition to state and federal managers, private landowners, agricultural operators, water rights鈥痟olders鈥痑nd local governments are essential partners for taking advantage of the opportunity to maintain鈥痶he necessary redundancy and ecological integrity that sustains the region鈥檚 exceptional waterbird diversity.鈥 

To learn more about 探花精选鈥檚 Great Salt Lake Birds and Habitat Assessment,  or
For partners looking to access the interactive web tool, please contact salinelakes@audubon.org for access. 


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DeLuca, W. V., Seavy, N. E., Grand, J., Vel谩squez-Tibat谩, J., Taylor, L., Bowler, C., Deppe, J. L., Knight, E. J., Lentijo, G. M., Meehan, T. D., Michel, N. L., Saunders, S. P., Schillerstrom, N., Smith, M. A., Witko, C., & Wilsey, C. B. (2023). A framework for linking hemispheric, full annual cycle prioritizations to local conservation actions for migratory birds. Conservation Science and Practice, 5(8), e12975.  

 Fink, D., Auer, T., Johnston, A., Strimas-Mackey, M., Ligocki, S., Robinson, O., Hochachka, W., Jaromczyk, L., Crowley, C., Dunham, K., Stillman, A., Davis, C., Stokowski, M., Sharma, P., Pantoja, V., Burgin, D., Crowe, P., Bell, M., Ray, S., Davies, I., Ruiz-Gutierrez, V., Wood., C., & Rodewald, A. (2024). eBird status and trends, data version: 2023. Cornell Lab of Ornithology.  

 Meehan, T.D., Saunders, S.P., DeLuca, W.V., Michel, N.L., Grand, J., Deppe, J.L., Jimenez, M.F., Knight, E.J., Seavy, N.E., Smith, M.A., Taylor, L., Witko, C., Akresh, M.E., Barber, D.R., Bayne, E.M., Beasley, J.C., Belant, J.L., Bierregaard, R.O., Bildstein, K.L., Boves, T.J., Brzorad, J.N., Campbell, S.P., Celis-Murillo, A., Cooke, H.A., Domenech, R., Goodrich, L., Gow, E.A., Haines, A., Hallworth, M.T., Hill, J.M., Holland, A.E., Jennings, S., Kays, R., King, D.T., Mackenzie, S.A., Marra, P.P., McCabe, R.A., McFarland, K.P., McGrady, M.J., Melcer Jr, R., Norris, D.R., Norvell, R.E., Rhodes Jr, O.E., Rimmer, C.C., Scarpignato, A.L., Shreading, A., Watson, J.L., & Wilsey, C.B., 2022. Integrating data types to estimate spatial patterns of avian migration across the Western Hemisphere. Ecological Applications, 32(7), e2679.  

 Wilsey, C., Bateman, B., Taylor, L., Wu, J. X., LeBaron, G., Shepherd, R., Koseff, C., Friedman, S., & Stone, R. (2019). Survival by degrees: 389 bird species on the brink. 探花精选, New York, New York, USA. /climate/survivalbydegrees